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Bookmaker’s Predictions: Clean Sheet and Goals – Premier League Game week 38

May 13, 2016 By Johnny Roseboom

For us fantasy football managers it is of utmost importance to be well informed before we start to compose our fantasy football line-ups. As a result we spend hours of researching statistics, but many of us forget to look at one very important source of information: the predictions and expectations of the bookmakers.

These guys are professionals, occupying their working day with gathering news about football and translating this into their quotes or expectations. It would be silly if we wouldn’t take advantage of this and therefor I always advise fantasy football managers to also have a look at what the bookmakers think.

I always have a look at the 3 markets that relate the most to the scoring categories in fantasy football, which are keeping a Clean Sheet, +2.5 Match Goals and Anytime Goalscorer. For this week it is very noticeable that the expectations from the bookmakers points towards goals. In all 10 matches the expectation is at 50% or more chance for 3 goals or more. Some food for thought: on the last play day of the last 4 seasons we saw 1 time 5 matches that went under 2.5 Match goals, and 3 times 4 matches that went under 2.5 Match Goals.

Program English Premier League Play Week 38

15.00 Arsenal – Aston Villa
15.00 Manchester United – AFC Bournemouth
15.00 Southampton – Crystal Palace
15.00 Chelsea – Leicester City
15.00 West Bromwich Albion – Liverpool
15.00 Swansea City – Manchester City
15.00 Everton – Norwich City
15.00 Watford – Sunderland
15.00 Newcastle United – Tottenham Hotspur
15.00 Stoke City – West Ham United

Team Clean Sheet Quote Verwachte Kans
West Ham United FC 9/4 30.77%
Arsenal 3/4 57.14%
Aston Villa 11/1 8.33%
AFC Bournemouth 6/1 14.29%
Crystal Palace 13/2 13.33%
Norwich City 9/2 18.18%
Southampton 10/11 52.36%
Newcastle United 9/2 18.18%
Swansea City 13/2 13.33%
Chelsea 9/4 30.77%
Watford 2/1 33.33%
Everton 2/1 33.33%
Manchester City 6/4 40.00%
West Bromwich Albion 13/5 27.78%
Sunderland 7/2 22.22%
Leicester City 3/1 40.0%
Liverpool 3/1 25.00%
Stoke City 15/4 21.05%
Tottenham Hotspur 17/10 37.04%
Manchester United 10/11 52.36%

+2.5 Match Goals

Wedstrijd +2.5 Match Goals Quote Verwachte Kans
Arsenal – Aston Villa 7/20 74.07%
Manchester United – AFC Bournemouth 13/20 60.61%
Southampton – Crystal Palace 6/10 62.50%
Chelsea – Leicester City 7/10 58.82%
West Bromwich Albion – Liverpool 13/20 60.61%
Swansea City – Manchester City 1/2 66.67%
Everton – Norwich City 8/15 65.36%
Watford – Sunderland 4/6 59.88%
Newcastle United – Tottenham Hotspur 13/20 60.61%
Stoke City – West Ham United 6/10 62.50%
Speler Anytime Goalscorer Quote Verwachte Kans
Diego Costa (CHE) 11/10 47.62%
Bertrand Traore 6/4 40.00%
Jamie Vardy (LEI) 7/5 41.67%
Charlie Austin (SOU) 1/1 50.00%
Graziano Pellè (SOU) 1/1 50.00%
Shane Long (SOU) 1/1 50.00%
Sadio Mané (SOU) 13/10 43.48%
Harry Kane (TOT) 19/20 51.28%
Sergio Agüero (MCI) 3/4 57.14%
Kelechi Iheanacho (MCI) 6/5 45.45%
Wilfried Bony (MCI) 6/5 45.45%
Kevin de Bruyne (MCI) 11/8 42.19%
Yaya Touré (MCI) 6/4 40.00%
Romelu Lukaku (EVE) 10/11 52.36%
Saido Berahino (WBA) 13/10 43.48%
Salomón Rondón (WBA) 13/10 43.48%
Christian Benteke (LIV) 13/10 43.48%
Daniel Sturridge (LIV) 13/10 43.48%
Odion Ighalo (WAT) 13/10 43.48%
Troy Deeney (WAT) 13/10 43.48%
Jermain Defoe (SUN) 23/20 46.51%
Olivier Giroud (ARS) 11/20 64.52%
Alexis Sánchez (ARS) 8/11 57.80%
Aaron Ramsey (ARS) 13/10 43.48%
Mesut Özil 13/10 43.48%
Wayne Rooney (MNU) 10/11 52.36%
Marcus Rashford (MNU) 10/11 52.36%
Anthony Martial (MNU) 23/20 46.51%
Andy Carroll (WHU) 7/5 41.67%

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Filed Under: Premier League Tagged With: Bookmaker's Predictions

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